Market Wrap: Traders Buy the Dip and Bitcoin Holds at $9,200

A small bitcoin dip down to $9,100 recovered, but traders are unsure about further price appreciation.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $9,240 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET), gaining 0.25% over the previous 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $9,118-$9,245
  • BTC below 10-day and 50-day moving average, a bearish signal for market technicians.

Bitcoin trading on Coinbase since July 8.
Source: TradingView

The market at $9,200 per bitcoin erased gains earlier in the week when the world’s oldest cryptocurrency popped to $9,400 Wednesday. “Two days ago, bitcoin rallied 1.9% then dropped 2.1% and is now flat. Just another failed breakout,” said Elie Le Rest, partner at quantitative trading firm ExoAlpha. Still, traders buying when prices dip isn’t providing enough momentum to significantly move the market higher, Le Rest added. “There’s less and less amplitude to move, so we should see in the next couple of days how this resolves.”

Several traders pointed to $9,400, where momentum might turn into a bullish market. “The price of bitcoin again returned to the range of $9,000-$9,200 after the asset again failed to pass a key level at $9,392,” said Constatin Kogan, a partner at cryptocurrency fund BitBull Capital. Indeed, since the start of July bitcoin has struggled to break out of $9,000-$9,200 territory.

btconemonthjul10
Bitcoin trading on Coinbase the past month.
Source: TradingView

Josh Rager, a trader and adviser of crypto brokerage LevelInvest, says it will be hard to get back to Wednesday’s $9,400 price range for the time being. “I think bitcoin drops short of $9,400 to make another lower high on the trend,” he said.

However, bets in the options market overwhelmingly favor bitcoin higher than $9,200, with options on $11,250 per BTC especially popular.

skew_btc_options_open_interest_by_strike_k-2
Bitcoin options open interest by strike.
Source: Skew

Nonetheless, options volumes continued to trend down, changing the trader profile, noted Vishal Shah, founder of Alpha5. “This is only traders that play options on the high-end of the risk spectrum,” Shah said.

Read More: Exchanges See Drop in Volumes as Bitcoin Volatility Approaches 2020 Low

ExoAlpha’s Le Rest predicted a wide range where price might head into the weekend and beyond. “We’re pretty neutral as it could really go both ways – up to $9,450 on way to tackle $10,000 once again, or down to $8,200,” he said.

Bitcoin locked in DeFi up 200%

The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, ether (ETH), was flat Friday, trading around $239 and in the red 0.10% in 24 hours as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET). Ether is up 84% in 2020, outperforming bitcoin’s 28% year-to-date gains.

The amount of bitcoin on DeFi, which mostly runs on the Ethereum network, has risen from 5,000 to 15,000 BTC in the past month. That is a 200% increase, according to data aggregator DeFi Pulse.

defibtc
Total bitcoin locked in DeFi the past three months.
Source: DeFi Pulse

By locking bitcoin in DeFi, investors are able to earn a reward, or “yield,” without having to trade into another asset such as ether. In July’s low spot exchange volume environment, traders might be increasingly locking crypto rather than trading it.

Read more: Nearly $60M in Bitcoin Moved to Ethereum in June

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mixed Friday. Notable winners as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

Read More: Kyber Token’s Eightfold Increase Reveals Bet on Future

Notable losers as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

Read More: What Is Yield Farming? The Rocket Fuel of DeFi, Explained

Read More: Coinbase Plans First-Ever Investor Day Amid Talk It May Go Public

  • Oil is up 2.2%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $40.49.
  • Gold is still around $1,800 Friday, flat in the red 0.10% at $1,799 per ounce.

Read More: A Rare Glimpse Into How Crypto Is Really Used in Venezuela

  • U.S. Treasury bonds were mixed Friday. Yields, which move in the opposite direction as price, were up most on the two-year, in the green 2.9%.

Read More: The Fed’s Declining Balance Sheet Is Bearish for Bitcoin. Or Is It?

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