‘It will send BTC’ — On-chain analyst says Bitcoin hodlers are only getting stronger

According to on-chain analyst Willy Woo, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) could achieve a “conservative” target of $200,000 in 2021. The prediction revolves around the fact that long-time investors seem more confident in the recent rally.

There are two key data points that suggest Bitcoin’s ongoing rally could explode higher. First, “HODLers,” or long-time BTC holders, aren’t moving their funds for longer than in previous rallies. Second, BTC held on exchanges continues to decrease, which reduces selling pressure.

A bullish Bitcoin re-accumulation phase is happening

The re-accumulation of Bitcoin has remained a consistently bullish trend throughout 2020. It has continuously decreased the selling pressure on BTC, allowing a more stable rally without major 30%-40% corrections as frequently seen in 2017.

Woo noted that he is bullish for 2021 because Bitcoin’s re-accumulation phase means the amount of BTC that could be sold is much lower compared to the previous bull cycle. He said:

“I’ve never been so bullish for 2021. This re-accumulation phase coincides with spot market inventory depletion roughly 2x longer and deeper than the last cycle. It will send BTC.”

Atop the declining Bitcoin reserve on exchanges, Woo found that HODLers are “holding stronger.” In 2017, the amount of gain per the amount of capital invested in Bitcoin hovered at around $0.25. This figure increased to $0.35 in 2020, which means more investors expect event bigger profits in the future.

Bitcoin market cap gain per dollar invested. Source: Woobull.com

Based on the combination of the two optimistic on-chain trends, Woo said that Bitcoin could achieve a  “conservative price” of $200,000 by the end of 2021. He explained:

“My Top Model suggesting $200k per BTC by end of 2021 looks conservative, $300k not out of the question. The current market on average paid $7456 for their coins. You all are geniuses.”

Bitcoin HODL waves. Source: Glassnode, Unchained Capital

As reported in May, Bitcoin HODL…

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