- Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures were broadly flat on Tuesday, struggling to hold Monday’s stock market highs.
- US-China trade remains in focus after White House reached “consensus” on phase one deal.
- Long-term outlook is positive as JP Morgan predicts a “great rotation” back into stocks in 2020.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures took a minor slide by 11 points in premarket trading Tuesday, pointing to a nervous stock market open. Traders are struggling to hold yesterday’s record highs, despite a breakthrough trade deal “consensus” overnight.
Looking to the longer-term picture, JP Morgan is bullish on the year ahead. The bank’s analysts see a flood of money entering the stock market next year in what they call a “great rotation.”
Given this year proved to be a strong year for equity markets, helped by institutional investors, then we should see retail investors responding to this year’s equity market strength by turning [into] big buyers of equity funds in 2020. This suggests 2020 could be another strong year for equities driven by retail rather than institutional investors.
Dow futures struggle for direction on Tuesday
Dow futures contracts swung in and out of positive territory overnight as traders digested a seemingly positive phone call between Washington and Beijing.
Stock market rally to continue into 2020
The Dow is already up 19% year-to-date, mostly driven by institutional money, according to JP Morgan. In contrast, retail investors have taken an “extremely cautious stance” and sat on the sidelines.
But with the stock market closing out the year 19% higher at record highs, retail investors will come running. JP Morgan analysts predict they’ll rotate out of defensive bonds and into equity funds.