In the eyes of analysts across the board, Bitcoin (BTC) decidedly bottomed at $3,150. They cite the fact that at $3,150, BTC was down 85% from its all-time highs, which is where the crypto asset has bottomed in previous cycles, coupled with the idea that industry fundamentals are better than ever.
And so far, this call has been vindicated, as BTC now sits at a casual $5,300. However, some pundits fear that a so-called “black swan” event could still strike this market, forcing Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to enter a freefall. Let’s take a look.
Related Reading: Crypto Professionals Predict $2,400 Bitcoin Bottom, Expect Infrastructure To Spark Bull Run
Why Crypto Could Head Lower From Here
Adamant Capital, an Alpha-seeking Bitcoin fund, recently released its latest report about the state of cryptocurrency markets. While the report, titled “Bitcoin in Heavy Accumulation,” had bullish undertones, its authors, which includes prominent analyst Tuur Demeester, weren’t remiss to not mention the cases for lower lows in this cycle.
In under 24 hours, over 7,000 investors worldwide read our report online, and over 2,500 downloaded the pdf. Check out “Bitcoin in Heavy Accumulation”here: https://t.co/DkjedcF3RG pic.twitter.com/C4pGG08uGM
— Tuur Demeester (@TuurDemeester) April 19, 2019
Adamant’s researchers and partners gave three/four cases for a collapse to new lows in the coming months.
First, hacks or failures of exchanges and other infrastructure providers. While the unwinding of the 2013 rally was partially a result of natural cycles, some of the drawdown was catalyzed by the decimation of Mt. Gox, hacked for hundreds of thousands of BTC. Adamant postulates that if a similar event occurs in the coming six months, Bitcoin markets could see a negative demand shock.
Second, a macroeconomic crash. Although cryptocurrencies have been lauded as non-correlated assets to stocks, it was proposed that a collapse in traditional markets could create a situation…