Bitcoin Bounces on 2018 Consolidation Support — Price Analysis


Bitcoin Bounces on 2018 Consolidation Support, Bull Flag Forming — Price Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) yesterday bucked its (seemingly interminable) downtrend, reacting just as it came in contact with the central consolidation knot from its 2018 market. The bounce so far has not translated into something more extensive, although it is looking promising that this may occur within the next day. We wait for a daily close today for a bit of confirmation.

Starting with the daily, we first note the blue band of support which has caused two reactions in the Bitcoin price. This band is derived from the final consolidation of the 2018 bear market around $6k, just before Bitcoin’s market dumped nearly 50% (inset above).

BTC chart by TradingView

We can see that the market is very clearly aware of the 21 EMA, as price closed yesterday exactly at this level. We can also presume, then, that it is also aware of the 8 EMA, and if Bitcoin can close the day holding above the 8, we could see further upside. This would also lock in a bull divergence on the daily chart, which will be a further boon to market confidence.

Moving to the 4-hour for more detail, we see what looks like a bull flag. Sell volume has not matched yesterday’s buying, and a shallow retracement was held at the 0.382 level. This suggests strength, as a weaker movement might close at the 0.5 or 0.618 retracement levels. We see that buying came in as soon as price got into the clutch of EMAs under $7,100.

Shallow retrace is a good signBTC chart by TradingView